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Author Topic: Masterclass 2014 - 2015 Upset Picks of the Day (2015 US Open - Day 5)  (Read 5094 times)

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Re: Masterclass 2014 Upset Picks of the Day
« Reply #75 on: June 01, 2014, 06:43:57 am »
[13] Jo-Wilfried Tsonga (FRA) vs. [2] Novak Djokovic (SRB)
 [18] Ernests Gulbis (LAT) vs. [4] Roger Federer (SUI)
 [6] Tomas Berdych (CZE) vs. [10] John Isner (USA)
 [8] Milos Raonic (CAN) vs. Marcel Granollers (ESP)

At this stage, any player can be upset. :)

I'm going to go out on a limb and give Gulbis the nod.  Federer has looked good on serve, but his ground game has not been so good. If Federer's serve falters due to pressure on his ground game, then Gulbis has a shot.  But he has to do well and not suffer any of his infamous implosions, so this is certainly not a big chance, but it's there. Let's see how interested Federer is in going further at Roland Garros, which has been said not to be a priority, or packing his grass bags for Halle and Wimbledon.

I'd like to see Tsonga overcome the pressure at his home slam and get the win over Djokovic after that sad loss he had a couple of years ago to him, when he really should have won it.   But I don't know. Tsonga has only just recently started playing much better.  I'm not sure he can contend with Novak over 5 sets.  I think his biggest chance is to blitz Nole in 3 sets. The longer it goes, the worse for Tsonga.

Raonic keeps exceeding my expectations.  Granollers has been playing well. He has a shot on clay. 

Berdych hasn't lost to Isner on clay in their two meetings on the surface, and I don't think John's high bouncing second serve will bother the tall Czech player.  I think Isner's best chance is to use his big wing span and go for the net. But he just doesn't do it enough to make me confident that he can succeed, and one can never be sure about Isner's fitness, especially as the rounds wear on in a major.  But you never know.  If Isner gets hot on serve, he can be damn difficult to break, and if you can't break, you can't win.  So I still have to give him a chance for a minor upset.

Respectfully,
masterclass

Here's mine. I started on it last night, but yesterday I was too exhausted to post it.

I expected Verdasco to finish off Gasquet. For some reason Richie can't seem to put together two great back to back performances.

Day 8: Sunday, 1 June
Eugenie Bouchard (CAN)[18] vs. Angelique Kerber (GER)[8]2.
Ernests Gulbis (LAT)[18] vs. Roger Federer (SUI)[4]
Jo-Wilfried Tsonga (FRA)[13] vs. Novak Djokovic (SRB)[2]
Garbine Muguruza (ESP) vs. Pauline Parmentier (FRA)
Tomas Berdych (CZE)[6] vs. John Isner (USA)[10]
Ajla Tomljanovic (CRO) vs. Carla Suarez Navarro (ESP)[14]
Milos Raonic (CAN)[8] vs. Marcel Granollers (ESP)
Samantha Stosur (AUS)[19] vs. Maria Sharapova (RUS)[7]
Murray vs. Kohlschreiber
Verdasco vs. Gasquet

While I think Gulbis is a possible upset, I don't think he'll have the composure needed at this point of the tournament I think and I feel that Federer wants to make a statement.

I pegged Tsonga as a possible upset too, because he's playing well and this is the round where he'd still feel free enough to hit out. The closer he gets to the finish line, the more his chances diminish IMO, due to the home court pressure.

I woke up to Berdych finishing off Isner. For some reason my DVR decided to stop recording the tournament ;).

I think Raonic has the momentum, so I'm choosing him over Granollers, although Granollers surprised me in the last round.

Sam has nothing for Maria. She's too intimidated by her. If she played her game, she'd have a chance, but she always seems to freeze in Maria's presence.

Andy and Kohli are at 9-8 deuce, but I expect Andy to raise his level any minute and remove Kohli from the facilities.


 

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