Based on the past, Cilic should win the first set with Murray getting out of the gate slowly. Then it will be a tight second set, maybe a tiebreaker, with Murray getting it after Cilic had a chance to close it out. Then Murray would break early in the 3rd due to Marin being down, and that would be it.
But this is a New Year, and Cilic has made some changes, and Murray still isn't match fit in my opinion. It might be the best chance Cilic has... but can he take it?
Respectfully,
masterclass