that is a great post and pretty much spot on.
wawrinka is playing well.
rafa is going to have to play a clean match: 15-18 unforced errors is a somewhat clean match on a quicker hard court with lighter balls.
stan is not going to attack as much as roger so nadal has to get into his rhythm off the ground and take it from there. solid ground game is key for nadal.
force stan to go for more while you play your high percentage tennis.
wawrinka could steal a set. I say rafa takes the final in 4.
there is the decisive mental edge for nadal that is going to come into play: nadal is 12-0 against him. I believe stan is going to think about that going into this match.
it is also stan's very first slam final. he could be slightly overwhelmed by the occasion.